Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.408803 0.539205 0.688970 0.871273 1.084766 1.324550 1.611860
2025-11-09 0.220072 0.369701 0.568643 0.841212 1.193765 1.623778 2.176990
2025-11-16 0.133600 0.288073 0.524357 0.882727 1.384047 2.033771 2.912003
2025-11-23 0.074255 0.215003 0.465679 0.885658 1.516486 2.377756 3.590201
2025-11-30 0.047011 0.181035 0.454088 0.949592 1.734779 2.847667 4.459165
2025-12-07 0.027489 0.148107 0.431797 0.988428 1.915275 3.273531 5.289156
2025-12-14 0.014176 0.116694 0.399818 1.001486 2.052559 3.641731 6.053480
2025-12-21 0.005800 0.086689 0.357311 0.984347 2.135012 3.929521 6.712762
2025-12-28 0.002310 0.068853 0.335373 1.000233 2.270051 4.299308 7.499922
2026-01-04 0.000624 0.052856 0.309670 1.001727 2.377251 4.628179 8.235813
2026-01-11 0.000043 0.036799 0.272695 0.969494 2.418322 4.851850 8.820344
2026-01-18 NaN 0.025521 0.242886 0.945647 2.469743 5.091057 9.432452
2026-01-25 NaN 0.018923 0.227026 0.953903 2.585490 5.445181 10.239311
2026-02-01 NaN 0.011695 0.197954 0.920233 2.615063 5.657029 10.834215
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009562 0.196820 0.963549 2.802995 6.143131 11.869368
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006475 0.182927 0.966227 2.906314 6.487648 12.690466
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005847 0.189828 1.033885 3.151058 7.084530 13.924339
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004640 0.188460 1.074956 3.340835 7.590744 15.023949
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003165 0.179379 1.088737 3.471603 7.996649 15.970986
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001703 0.162281 1.070536 3.529363 8.273769 16.715534
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001066 0.155550 1.087361 3.666494 8.696473 17.703691
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000549 0.145509 1.088937 3.767786 9.056068 18.594318
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000156 0.127869 1.054758 3.781792 9.255263 19.224304